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DTN Midday Grain Comments 07/22 10:55
Corn, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday Wednesday; Soybeans Lower
Corn futures are 8 to 9 cents higher at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 14 to 15 cents lower; wheat futures are 21 to 32 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 8 to 9 cents higher at midday Wednesday; soybean futures
are 14 to 15 cents lower; wheat futures are 21 to 32 cents higher. The U.S.
stock market is mixed at midday with the S&P 10 points higher. The U.S. Dollar
Index is 7 points lower. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
firmer with crude 2.40 higher and natural gas .05 higher. Livestock trade is
mixed with hogs leading. Precious metals are weaker with gold up 88.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 8 to 9 cents higher at midday with broad ag strength
continuing to push action back to the upper end of the range with mixed spread
action as we watch for further weather and world event developments. The weekly
ethanol report showed production up 54,000 barrels per day with stocks up
100,000 barrels on the week. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the
200,000 to 400,000 metric ton (mt) range. Weather should see a cooler and
wetter stretch for much of the Corn Belt to the weekend with warmer, drier
weather expected to return after that. On the September chart, the 20-day
moving average at $4.35 is support with the upper Bollinger Band at $4.61 as
resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 14 to 15 cents higher at midday with meal leading the
product complex as we continue to consolidate near the highs of the year. Meal
is 7.50 to 8.50 higher and oil is 70 to 80 points higher. Basis should stay
flat with crush margins holding the recent range. Weather looks to show
short-term improvement before warming into key podfill season. Weekly export
sales are expected to be in the 700,000 to 1.0 million metric ton (mmt) range
between crop years on Thursday's report. On the September contract, chart
support is the 20-day moving average at $11.79 with the Upper Bollinger Band at
$12.31 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 21 to 32 cents higher with KC action leading as trade
presses into fresh highs for the move with the positive spillover from row-crop
and world markets keeping the trend up through the overbought conditions.
Winter wheat harvest will continue to wind down with spring wheat areas seeing
some short-term temperature relief. Matif wheat and E.U. corn are sharply
higher again. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 200,000 to 400,000
metric ton range. On the KC September chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $6.69 with the fresh high for the move at $7.68 as resistance.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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